How Many Oscars Will The Power Of The Dog Win?

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The Power of the Dog surpassed nearly everyone’s expectations on Oscar nomination morning, becoming the most nominated film since 2017’s The Shape of Water with 12 nods overall. So the question is, how many of those nominations can it win?

Near Guarantees

Netflix may finally have their first Best Picture winner in Jane Campion’s patient, carefully constructed Western. It’s the only film this year that checks all the boxes a Best Picture nominee normally does – the fall festival premiere, a DGA nomination, an editing nomination, several SAG nominations, and a strong chance to win either Screenplay or Director. It has Best Picture wins from the vast majority of critics groups, as well as the top prize from the Critics Choice, Golden Globes, and BAFTA awards. The PGA picked SAG winner CODA, but even so, the film’s nomination haul is so strong it’ll still be tough to deny.

Jane Campion is a lock to win Best Director. Many take issue with the term “lock”, but I’m confident that I’ll have no regrets using it here. Even if the film won no other awards, this one would happen. She’s the only female director to receive a second nomination in this category, and her film has been endlessly praised for her its careful, detailed craftsmanship. Her “thoughtless” Critics Choice comment won’t even make a dent.

Benedict Cumberbatch in The Power of the Dog

(Image credit: Netflix)

Other Possibilities

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